10/29/12

The Numbers: Adelaide v Wollongong 28/10/12

What a difference a quarter makes.

After a 10-0 start yesterday, the 36ers looked like the team we all hoped they could be. The offense was ticking beautifully and the boys were doing a great job on D, getting a hand in the face of the shooters and cutting off the inside lanes. Adelaide led 15-5 when Marty Clarke made his first sub, bringing in Crosswell and Petrie for Cadee and Schenscher. Two minutes later, with the score at 19-9, he brought in Creek and Cadee for DJ and the white-hot Adam Gibson. Nineteen seconds later he brought in CJ Massingale for Stephen Weigh. Scores still at 19-9. A minute later 10th man Pero Vasiljevic also hit the court, meaning all bench guys had been on court and all starters had had a sub. Adelaide led 21-12 at the end of the quarter. The use of 10 guys in the quarter didn't cost us the game, but did this disrespect the opponent by "clearing the bench" or even send the message to our team "we got this"?

Which brings us to today's topic: Subs

In yesterday's game, Marty Clarke tried six  new lineups , taking the season tally to thirty-seven. When you allow for the fact we'll probably not see a Pero/DJ/Schensch front court or a  Cadee/Crosswell/Massingale back court (actually, hang on, we have, yesterday), that doesn't leave many lineups that haven't been used. Here's some of the more interesting lineup facts.

-10 lineups have played less than a minute on court together.

-The lineup with the best +/-? Crosswell/Gibson/Creek/Petrie/Johnson with a number of +15. They have played the fifth most minutes as a group at 5.1 minutes.

-The lineup with the worst +/- is Cadee/Gibson/Weigh/Petrie/Schenscher who sit at -11. This group has logged the second most lineup minutes at 16.32 minutes.

-The most used lineup is the starting lineup with a +12 result.

-Another lineup of note is the Cadee/Gibson/Creek/Weigh/Johnson combo. They've only logged 3.48 minutes together but are at +9. They didn't hit the court as a group yesterday.

In the 4th quarter yesterday we saw 4 lineups used, returning the following numbers....

Cadee/Crosswell/Weigh/Petrie/Schenscher:  2:26 mins / +1 result
Cadee/Gibson/Weigh/Petrie/Schenscher: 0:33 mins / -1 result
Cadee/Gibson/Creek/Weigh/Petrie: 2:13 mins / -8 result
Cadee/Gibson/Weigh/Petrie/Johnson: 4.48 mins / -8 result

Adelaide played 3 guys for the full 10mins in the last quarter. Only Sav played the full 10 for Wollongong. The return from those 3?

Cadee- 0/2 FG, 1 ast
Weigh- 2/2 FG
Petrie- 3/7 FG, 1/2 FT, 2 reb, 1 TO

Adelaide was out rebounded by 10-4 which was also a key number. That and Deleon going off his head.

Adelaide clearly needs to address their fourth quarter fade outs and their vulnerability to explosive point guards at the end of games but it would also help to address the lineups we use. These are the 4th qtr player stats so far this year.


4th Qtr Averages











Player Name M MP4Q FG% 3P% FT% REB AST STL BLK TO PF PTS
Adam Gibson 4 8.73 29 0 75 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.00 1.00 1.00 3.50
Stephen Weigh 4 8.77 71 100 50 0.50 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 3.50
Jason Cadee 4 8.34 20 0 100 0.75 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.75 1.00
Tom Daly 0 0.00 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CJ Massingale 1 1.15 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00
Luke Schenscher 3 3.42 33 0 100 1.00 0.00 0.67 0.67 0.33 1.00 1.33
Jan Warbout 0 0.00 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anthony Petrie 3 8.72 33 0 67 1.67 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.67 0.33 3.00
Daniel Johnson 4 7.95 44 33 100 1.50 0.25 0.25 0.00 1.50 1.25 4.50
Mitchell Creek 4 3.00 67 0 0 1.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 1.00
Nathan Crosswell 3 3.13 0 0 0 0.67 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pero Vasiljevic 1 1.57 0 0 0 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00
Adam Doyle 0 0.00 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00


The minutes show we often finish with Cadee/Gibson/Weigh/Petrie/Johnson, a lineup with a -8 number.  If you look at our best lineup though (Crosswell/Gibson/Creek/Petrie/Johnson), it doesn't appear Crosswell is the answer as his numbers are lower than Cadee's. All things considered, we should perhaps look to this lineup........

Gibson/Creek/Weigh/Johnson/Schenscher

This lineup has only played 0.35 minutes together as a unit but may work for the following reasons.

-Moves Gibbo to the point, who has superior numbers to Cadee and Crosswell down the stretch
-Gives the flexibility of using Gibson or Creek, the two best defensive guards, in the back court
-Gives us two guards who can get to the basket and score in transition
-Looks to Weigh as the primary outside scorer (100% on threes, 71% overall in 4th quarter)
-Gives us a shot-blocker and a player who should be able to find an easy basket or two (Schenscher) down the stretch


The rotations aren't the 36ers biggest problem but it would certainly help is we could stick more to an 8 man rotation and settle the 4th quarter lineup.




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